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lectures/smoothing.md

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import scipy.linalg as la
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```
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### Relationship to Other Lectures
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### Relationship to other lectures
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This lecture can be viewed as a followup to [Optimal Savings II: LQ Techniques](https://python-intro.quantecon.org/perm_income_cons.html)
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In the **incomplete markets version**, the consumer can buy and sell only one security each period, a risk-free one-period bond with gross
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one-period return $\beta^{-1}$.
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## Linear State Space Version of Complete Markets Model
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## Linear state space version of complete markets model
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We'll study a complete markets model adapted to a setting with a continuous Markov state like that
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in the [first lecture on the permanent income model](https://python-intro.quantecon.org/perm_income.html).
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plt.show()
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```
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### Interpretation of Graph
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### Interpretation of graph
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In the above graph, please note that:
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(meaning linear plus a constant) of the consumer's nonfinancial
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income.
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### Incomplete Markets Version
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### Incomplete markets version
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The incomplete markets version of the model with nonfinancial income being governed by a linear state space system
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is described in [permanent income model](https://python-intro.quantecon.org/perm_income_cons.html).
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In that incomplete markerts setting, consumption follows a random walk and the consumer's debt follows a process with a unit root.
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### Finite State Markov Income Process
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### Finite state Markov income process
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We now turn to a finite-state Markov version of the model in which the consumer's nonfinancial income is an exact function of a Markov state that
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takes one of $N$ values.
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Here $\gamma >0$ is a bliss level of consumption
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### Market Structure
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### Market structure
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Our complete and incomplete markets models differ in how thoroughly the market structure allows a
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consumer to transfer resources across time and Markov states, there
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- how the consumer chooses to make his levels of indebtedness behave
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over time and across Markov states
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## Model 1 (Complete Markets)
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## Model 1 (complete markets)
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At each date $t \geq 0$, the consumer trades a full array of **one-period ahead
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Arrow securities**.
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Knowing $b(1)$ and $b(2)$, we can solve equation {eq}`cs_5` for the constant level of consumption $\bar c$.
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### Key Outcomes
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### Key outcomes
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The preceding calculations indicate that in the complete markets version
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of our model, we obtain the following striking results:
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consumption and debt paths -- and compare them with outcomes
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from an incomplete markets model in the spirit of Hall {cite}`Hall1978`
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## Model 2 (One-Period Risk-Free Debt Only)
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## Model 2 (one-period risk-free debt only)
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This is a version of the original model of Hall (1978)
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in which the consumer's ability to substitute intertemporally is
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b_{t+1} - b_t = \beta^{-1} [ (1- \beta) v(i) - y(i) ]
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```
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### Summary of Outcomes
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### Summary of outcomes
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In contrast to outcomes in the complete markets model, in the incomplete
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markets model
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current consumption on today's debt level account for the drift over
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time in consumption.
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### The Incomplete Markets Model
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### The incomplete markets model
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The code above also contains a function called `consumption_incomplete()` that uses {eq}`cs_12` and {eq}`cs_13` to
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