@@ -3,10 +3,8 @@ jupytext:
33 text_representation :
44 extension : .md
55 format_name : myst
6- format_version : 0.13
7- jupytext_version : 1.13.4
86kernelspec :
9- display_name : Python 3 (ipykernel)
7+ display_name : Python 3
108 language : python
119 name : python3
1210---
@@ -57,7 +55,7 @@ employed.
5755
5856The probability
5957of finding a job is $p(a)$ where $p$ is an increasing, strictly concave,
60- and twice differentiable function of $a$ that satisfies
58+ and twice differentiable function of $a$ that satisfies
6159$p(a) \in [0,1]$ for $a \geq 0$, $p(0)=0$.
6260
6361The consumption good is nonstorable.
@@ -71,13 +69,13 @@ smoothing over time and across states.
7169
7270Once a worker has found a job, he is beyond the planner's grasp.
7371
74- * This is Shavell and Weiss's assumption, but not Hopenhayn and Nicolini's.
75- * Hopenhayn and Nicolini allow the unemployment insurance agency to
72+ * This is Shavell and Weiss's assumption, but not Hopenhayn and Nicolini's.
73+ * Hopenhayn and Nicolini allow the unemployment insurance agency to
7674impose history-dependent taxes on previously unemployed workers.
77- * Since there is no incentive problem after the worker has found
75+ * Since there is no incentive problem after the worker has found
7876a job, it is optimal for the agency to provide an employed worker with
7977a constant level of consumption.
80- * Hence, Hopenhayn and Nicolini's insurance agency imposes
78+ * Hence, Hopenhayn and Nicolini's insurance agency imposes
8179a permanent per-period history-dependent tax on a previously
8280unemployed but presently employed worker.
8381
@@ -98,9 +96,9 @@ be $u(c)-a = u(w)$ forever.
9896
9997Therefore,
10098
101- $$ V^e = {u(w) \over (1-\beta)} .
99+ $$
100+ V^e = {u(w) \over (1-\beta)} .
102101$$ (eq:hugo2)
103- % \EQN hugo2
104102
105103Now let $V^u$ be the expected discounted present value of utility for an
106104unemployed worker who chooses consumption, effort pair $(c,a)$
112110V^u = \max_ {a \geq 0} \biggl\{ u(0) - a + \beta \left[
113111 p(a) V^e + (1-p(a)) V^u \right] \biggr\} .
114112$$ (eq:hugo3)
115- %EQN hugo3
116113
117114The first-order condition for a maximum is
118115
119116$$
120117\beta p'(a) \left[ V^e - V^u \right] \leq 1 ,
121118$$ (eq:hugo4)
122- %\EQN hugo4
123119
124120with equality if $a>0$.
125121
@@ -134,18 +130,18 @@ Equations {eq}`eq:hugo3`
134130form the basis for
135131an iterative algorithm for computing $V^u = V_{\rm aut}$.
136132
137- * Let $V^u_j$ be
133+ * Let $V^u_j$ be
138134the estimate of $V_{\rm aut}$ at the $j$th iteration.
139135
140- * Use this value
136+ * Use this value
141137in equation {eq}`eq:hugo4` and solve
142138for an estimate of effort $a_j$.
143139
144- * Use this value in a version of equation
140+ * Use this value in a version of equation
145141{eq}`eq:hugo3` with $V^u_j$ on the right side
146142to compute $V^u_{j+1}$.
147143
148- * Iterate to convergence.
144+ * Iterate to convergence.
149145
150146### Unemployment Insurance with Full Information
151147
@@ -194,7 +190,7 @@ $$ (eq:hugo5)
194190where minimization is subject to the promise-keeping constraint
195191
196192$$
197- V \leq u(c) - a + \beta
193+ V \leq u(c) - a + \beta
198194\left\{ p(a) V^e + [ 1-p(a)] V^u \right\} .
199195$$ (eq:hugo6)
200196
@@ -220,11 +216,11 @@ conditions with
220216respect to $c, a$, and $V^u$, respectively, are
221217
222218$$
223- \begin{align } \theta & = {1 \over u'(c)}\, , \cr
219+ \begin{aligned } \theta & = {1 \over u'(c)}\, , \cr
224220 C(V^u) & = \theta \left[ {1 \over \beta p'(a)} -
225221 (V^e - V^u) \right] \, , \cr
226222 C'(V^u) & = \theta\, .
227- \end{align }
223+ \end{aligned }
228224$$ (eq:hugo7)
229225
230226The envelope condition $C'(V) = \theta$ and the third equation
@@ -247,11 +243,9 @@ implies that $c$ and $a$ are held constant during the unemployment
247243spell.
248244
249245Thus, the unemployed worker's consumption $c$ and search effort $a$ are both fully smoothed
250- during the unemployment
251- spell.
246+ during the unemployment spell.
252247
253- But
254- the worker's consumption is not smoothed across states of
248+ But the worker's consumption is not smoothed across states of
255249employment and unemployment unless $V=V^e$.
256250
257251### The incentive problem
@@ -324,7 +318,7 @@ observe or enforce $a$, though it can observe and control $c$.
324318The worker is free to choose $a$, which puts expression {eq}`eq:hugo4`, the worker's first-order condition under autarky,
325319back in the picture.
326320
327- * We are assuming that the worker's
321+ * We are assuming that the worker's
328322best response to the unemployment insurance arrangement is
329323completely characterized by the first-order condition {eq}`eq:hugo4`,
330324an instance of the so-called first-order approach to incentive problems.
@@ -363,12 +357,12 @@ At an interior solution, first-order conditions with
363357respect to $c, a$, and $V^u$, respectively, are
364358
365359$$
366- \begin{align } \theta & = {1 \over u'(c)}\, , \cr
360+ \begin{aligned } \theta & = {1 \over u'(c)}\, , \cr
367361 C(V^u) & = \theta \left[ {1 \over \beta p'(a)} - (V^e - V^u) \right]
368362 \, -\, \eta {p''(a) \over p'(a)} (V^e - V^u) \cr
369363 & = \, - \eta {p''(a) \over p'(a)} (V^e - V^u) \, , \cr
370364 C'(V^u) & = \theta \, -\, \eta {p'(a) \over 1-p(a)}\, ,
371- \end{align }
365+ \end{aligned }
372366$$ (eq:hugo8)
373367
374368where the second equality in the second equation in {eq}`eq:hugo8` follows from strict equality
@@ -432,7 +426,7 @@ To compute the upper bound,
432426represent condition {eq}`eq:hugo4` as
433427
434428$$
435- V^u \geq V^e - [ \beta p'(a)] ^{-1},
429+ V^u \geq V^e - [ \beta p'(a)] ^{-1},
436430$$
437431
438432with equality if $ a > 0$.
@@ -655,7 +649,7 @@ In contrast, we will use cubic splines to interpolate across a pre-set grid of p
655649Our strategy involves finding a function $C(V)$ -- the expected cost of giving the worker value $V$ -- that satisfies the Bellman equation:
656650
657651$$
658- C(V) = \min_{c,a,V^u} \{c + \beta\left[1-p(a)\right]C(V^u)\}
652+ C(V) = \min_ {c,a,V^u} \{ c + \beta\left[ 1-p(a)\right] C(V^u)\}
659653$$ (eq:yad3)
660654
661655To solve this model, notice that in equations {eq}`eq:hugo21` and {eq}`eq:hugo22`, we have analytical solutions of $c$ and $a$ in terms of (at most) promised value $V$ and $V^u$ (and other parameters).
@@ -885,10 +879,10 @@ early in an unemployment spell.
885879There is a **carrot-and-stick**
886880aspect to the replacement rate and search effort schedules:
887881
888- * the **carrot** occurs in the forms of high compensation and low search
882+ * the **carrot** occurs in the forms of high compensation and low search
889883effort early in an unemployment spell.
890884
891- * the **stick** occurs in the low compensation and high effort later in
885+ * the **stick** occurs in the low compensation and high effort later in
892886the spell.
893887
894888We shall encounter a related carrot-and-stick feature in our other lectures about dynamic programming squared.
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