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It follows that $\log {\widetilde M}_t \sim {\mathcal N} ( -\frac{t H \cdot H}{2}, t H \cdot H )$ and that consequently ${\widetilde M}_t$ is log normal.
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### Simulating a Multiplicative Martingale Again
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### Simulating a multiplicative martingale again
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Next, we want a program to simulate the likelihood ratio process $\{ \tilde{M}_t \}_{t=0}^\infty$.
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@@ -984,7 +984,7 @@ After accomplishing this, we want to display and study histograms of $\tilde{M}_
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Here is code that accomplishes these tasks.
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### Sample Paths
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### Sample paths
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Let's write a program to simulate sample paths of $\{ x_t, y_{t} \}_{t=0}^{\infty}$.
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@@ -1257,7 +1257,7 @@ These probability density functions help us understand mechanics underlying the
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* Enough mass moves toward the right tail to keep $E \widetilde M_T = 1$
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even as most mass in the distribution of $\widetilde M_T$ collapses around $0$.
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### Multiplicative Martingale as Likelihood Ratio Process
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### Multiplicative martingale as likelihood ratio process
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