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update typos in calvo and calvo_abreu
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lectures/calvo.md

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@@ -164,7 +164,7 @@ real balances $m_t - p_t = -\alpha \theta_t$.
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An equivalence class of continuation money growth sequences $\{\mu_{t+j}\}_{j=0}^\infty$ deliver the same $\theta_t$.
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We shall use this insight to help us simplify our analsis of alternative government policy problems.
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We shall use this insight to help us simplify our analysis of alternative government policy problems.
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That future rates of money creation influence earlier rates of inflation
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makes timing protocols matter for modeling optimal government policies.
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The money demand function {eq}`eq_old1` and the utility function {eq}`eq_old5` imply that
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$$
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U(-\alpha \theta_t) = u_1 + u_2 (-\alpha \theta_t) -\frac{u_2}{2}(-\alpha \theta_t)^2 .
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U(-\alpha \theta_t) = u_0 + u_1 (-\alpha \theta_t) -\frac{u_2}{2}(-\alpha \theta_t)^2 .
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$$ (eq_old5a)
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The``bliss level`` of real balances is $\frac{u_1}{u_2}$ and the inflation rate that attains
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The ``bliss level`` of real balances is $\frac{u_1}{u_2}$ and the inflation rate that attains
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it is $-\frac{u_1}{u_2 \alpha}$.
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(TO TOM: the first sentece in the next section is very similar to the sentence above.)
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## Friedman's Optimal Rate of Deflation
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According to {eq}`eq_old5a`, the "bliss level" of real balances is $\frac{u_1}{u_2}$ and the inflation rate that attains it is
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A value $\theta$ from one Bellman equation appears as an argument of a second Bellman equation for another value $v$.
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.
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## A Ramsey Planner
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Here we consider a Ramsey planner that chooses
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We now describe a model in which we restrict the Ramsey planner's choice set.
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Instead of choosing a sequence of money growth rates $\vec \mu \in {\bf R}^2$, we restrict the
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Instead of choosing a sequence of money growth rates $\vec \mu \in {\bf L}^2$, we restrict the
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government to choose a time-invariant money growth rate $\bar \mu$.
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We created this version of the model to highlight an aspect of a Ramsey plan associated with its time inconsistency, namely, the feature that optimal settings of the policy instrument vary over time.
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The figure also plots the limiting value $\theta_\infty^R$ to which the promised inflation rate $\theta_t$ converges under the Ramsey plan.
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In addition, the figure indicates an MPE inflation rate $\theta^{CR}$ and a bliss inflation $\theta^*$.
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In addition, the figure indicates an MPE inflation rate $\theta^{MPE}$, $\theta^{CR}$, and a bliss inflation $\theta^*$.
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```{code-cell} ipython3
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:tags: [hide-input]
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clq.V_θ(θ_inf))
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```
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So our claim that $J(\theta_\infty^R) = V^{CR}(\theta_\infty^R)$is verified numerically.
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So our claim that $J(\theta_\infty^R) = V^{CR}(\theta_\infty^R)$ is verified numerically.
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Since $J(\theta_\infty^R) = V^{CR}(\theta_\infty^R)$ occurs at a tangency point at which
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$J(\theta)$ is increasing in $\theta$, it follows that
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The horizontal dotted lines indicate values
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$V(\mu_\infty^R), V(\mu^{CR}), V(\mu^{MPE}) $ of time-invariant money
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growth rates $\mu_\infty^R, \mu^{CR}$ and $\mu_{MPE}$, respectfully.
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growth rates $\mu_\infty^R, \mu^{CR}$ and $\mu^{MPE}$, respectfully.
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Notice how $J(\theta)$ and $V^{CR}(\theta)$ are tangent and increasing at
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$\theta = \theta_\infty^R$, which implies that $\theta^{CR} > \theta_\infty^R$
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\end{aligned}
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$$
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(TO TOM: $\theta^{MPE}$ is repeated in the above equations. Should one of them be $\theta^*$?)
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But let's see what happens when we change $c$.
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regard a time inconsistent plan as implausible because of the incentives to
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deviate that are presented along the plan.
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(TO TOM: In our meeting, you suggested that we can improve the sentence above.)
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A way to state this reaction is to say that a Ramsey plan is not credible because there are persistent incentives for policymakers to deviate from it.
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For that reason, the Markov perfect equilibrium concept attracts many

lectures/calvo_abreu.md

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This is a sequel to this quantecon lecture {doc}`calvo`.
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That lecture studied a linear-quadratic version of a model that Guillermo Calvo {cite}`Calvo1978` used to study the **time inconsistency** of the optimal government plan that emerges when a ``Stackelberg`` government (a.k.a.~ a ``Ramsey planner``) at time $0$ once and for all chooses a sequence $\vec \mu = \{\mu_t\}_{t=0}^\infty$ of gross rates of growth in the supply of money.
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That lecture studied a linear-quadratic version of a model that Guillermo Calvo {cite}`Calvo1978` used to study the **time inconsistency** of the optimal government plan that emerges when a **Stackelberg** government (a.k.a. a **Ramsey planner**) at time $0$ once and for all chooses a sequence $\vec \mu = \{\mu_t\}_{t=0}^\infty$ of gross rates of growth in the supply of money.
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A consequence of that choice is a (rational expectations equilibrium) sequence $\vec \theta = \{\theta_t\}_{t=0}^\infty$ of gross rates of increase in the price level that we call inflation rates.
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We'll proceed to compute one.
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In addition to what's in Anaconda, this lecture will use the following libraries:
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```{code-cell} ipython3
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import numpy as np
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from quantecon import LQ
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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from matplotlib.ticker import FormatStrFormatter
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import pandas as pd
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from IPython.display import display, Math
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```
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### Abreu's Self-Enforcing Plan

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