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lectures/smoothing_tax.md

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@@ -63,7 +63,7 @@ incomplete markets version of our model.
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In addition, we extend their assumption about the interest rate to an appropriate counterpart to create a "complete markets" model in the style of
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Lucas and Stokey {cite}`LucasStokey1983`.
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### Isomorphism between Consumption and Tax Smoothing
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### Isomorphism between consumption and tax smoothing
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For each version of a consumption-smoothing model, a tax-smoothing counterpart can be obtained simply by relabeling
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We'll spend most of this lecture studying acquire finite-state Markov specification,
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but will also treat the linear state space specification.
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#### Link to History
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#### Link to history
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For those who love history, President Thomas Jefferson's Secretary of Treasury Albert Gallatin (1807) {cite}`Gallatin` seems to have prescribed policies that
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come from Barro's model {cite}`Barro1979`
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plt.show()
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```
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## Tax Smoothing with Complete Markets
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## Tax smoothing with complete markets
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It is instructive to focus on a simple tax-smoothing example with complete markets.
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in which the term $(\sum_j Q_{ij} b_j - b_i)$ equals the net amount that the government spends to purchase one-period Arrow securities
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that will pay off next period in Markov states $j = 1, \ldots, N$ after it has received payments $b_i$ this period.
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## Returns on State-Contingent Debt
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## Returns on state-contingent debt
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Notice that $\sum_{j'=1}^N Q_{ij'} b(j')$ is the amount that the government spends in Markov state $i$ at time $t$ to purchase
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one-period state-contingent claims that will pay off in Markov state $j'$ at time $t+1$.
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return RT_path
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```
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### An Example of Tax Smoothing
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### An example of tax smoothing
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We'll study a tax-smoothing model with two Markov states.
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```{exercise-end}
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```
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## More Finite Markov Chain Tax-Smoothing Examples
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## More finite Markov chain tax-smoothing examples
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To interpret some episodes in the fiscal history of the United States, we find it interesting to study a few more examples.
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ts_ex5.display()
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```
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### Continuous-State Gaussian Model
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### Continuous-state Gaussian model
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To construct a tax-smoothing version of the complete markets consumption-smoothing model with a continuous state space that we presented in
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the lecture {doc}`consumption smoothing with complete and incomplete markets <smoothing>`, we simply relabel variables.
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R(x_{t+1} | x_t) = \frac{b(x_{t+1})}{\beta E b(x_{t+1})| x_t}
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$$
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#### Related Lectures
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#### Related lectures
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Throughout this lecture, we have taken one-period interest rates and Arrow security prices as exogenous objects determined outside the model
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and specified them in ways designed to align our models closely with the consumption smoothing model of Barro {cite}`Barro1979`.

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